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St. Joe Company Sees Bottom of Housing Market posted by Patricia Wheeler on 5/8/2008
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St. Joe Company Sees Bottom of Housing Market
JACKSONVILLE, FL - May 7, 2008
The St. Joe Company, Florida’s single largest landowner, believes that the housing market may have reached bottom.
St. Joe Company CEO Peter Rummell, pointing to the stabilization of residential inventory, says buyers must be made aware of the importance of buying a home now. ‘We have trained people to expect that prices are going to be lower tomorrow than today if they just wait. So now people are going to have to learn that we’ve gotten to that point.’
The St. Joe Company posted a $32 million profit for the first quarter, but only $9.8 million can be attributed to its residential operations. Much of the firm’s profits can be tied to the sale of ‘nonstrategic’ land parcels in the Florida Panhandle, including 57,435 acres it just recently sold to a group of buyers including sportsmen, investors and conservationists for $91 million.
Bay County Association of REALTORS® President Jan Cox points to the public awareness campaign titled ‘Gotta Buy Panama City’ (and funded in it’s entirety by Bay County, Florida REALTORS®) as at least party responsible for keeping the Panama City real estate market stable for the last year. Dissemination of complete and balanced market information, in an effort to educate home buyers that now is the best time to invest in real estate, and echoed in Sarasota, Marco Island, Ocala and Greater Miami, reflects a more positive trend of sales data in these areas.
For additional information on the Bay County Association of REALTORS® or the ‘Gotta Buy Panama City’ campaign, contact the Bay County Association of REALTORS® (Jan Cox, President) at 850-814-2252. Further information can also be found at www.GottaBuyPanamaCity.com.
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Austin Recession-Proof? posted by Chris Sato on 5/7/2008
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Austin recession-proof?
Austin Business Journal
Austin was named third on the Forbes.com list of the top 10 "Recession-Proof Cities" in the United States.
To create the list, the magazine looked at the 50 largest U.S. metros, examining key measures, such as unemployment data, non-farm related job growth, median home prices and data from a 2007 report, "U.S. Metro Economies: The Mortgage Crisis" by the U.S. Conference of Mayors.
At number three, Austin was right behind San Antonio, which grabbed the second spot thanks to solid employment figures and affordable home prices that continue to rise.
Oklahoma City took the No. 1 spot because of its strong housing market and solid growth in agriculture, energy and manufacturing.
For its part, Austin was lauded for being a hip town with one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country.
Forbes magazine's list of recession-proof cities also included: Houston, Dallas, Charlotte, N.C., Raleigh, N.C., Salt Lake City, San Jose, Calif. and Seattle.
Forbes says that Texas cities such as San Antonio, Austin, Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth have benefitted from historically lower home prices, land availability and 'little zoning'.
All four Texas cities boast falling unemployment rates, according to Forbes, with Austin dropping from 3.8 percent to 3.6 percent.
Forbes.com
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National Housing Market Update / Central Texas Sti posted by Chris Sato on 5/3/2008
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Friday's Personal Finance stories
It's extremely difficult to put a positive face on the housing market these days. From rising foreclosures and delinquencies to slumping sales, to curtailed mortgage lending -- especially the crunch on jumbo mortgages -- the data each month have been relentlessly downbeat.
The bad news has extended to home prices, which look like they are falling at a record pace. But home-price data may be one area where the disaster isn't all it's cracked up to be: Even the providers of this information are admitting that the peculiar real-estate market we're in opens the data to some twisted interpretations.
One popular measure of home prices, the Case-Shiller index, only includes the top 20 U.S. markets, many of which experienced rapidly rising prices and now are seeing the inevitable crash on the other side, and so may be skewing the numbers down. Broader-based data from the National Association of Realtors also have a major flaw: They doesn't account for the changing mix of homes being sold, thus skewing the data lower when the mix is mostly inexpensive houses.
In our lead story, Shades of Green writer Chris Pummer examines the home-price data and explains why you should be wary. Read his column, plus check out assistant Personal Finance editor Andrea Coombes' Consumer Watch column for a warning about how marketers and fraudsters are seeking to seize upon your tax-stimulus rebate checks and see why Chuck Jaffe is calling an investment in New York State quarters a stupid idea, on Friday's Personal Finance pages.
Even if the home-price data are overstating the magnitude of declines, you shouldn't take that to mean the market is healthy. The direction is clearly down -- maybe just not so far down.
-- Steve Kerch, assistant managing editor/personal finance
REAL ESTATE
Market anomalies skew home-price data, providers agree
Commonly cited measures of U.S. home prices are overstating the degree to which the vast majority of Americans' home values have declined in the last year, producers of two of the most widely tracked indexes acknowledged this week.
See Shades of Green.
There is no template for mortgage trouble
I am one of those "troubled" borrowers who is not yet delinquent on my loan but am in the process of writing my lender for a write-down on the principal and a fixed interest rate. Can you provide me with a sample letter or template to assist me with this task?
See Realty Q&A.
Multibillion-dollar bill to help homeowners advances
Members of the House Financial Services Committee voted to approve a multibillion-dollar package to aid strapped homeowners, sending the measure to the full House for consideration.
See full story.
Accidental renters
The housing slump has created another type of pain: the suffering of people who find themselves navigating a tight rental market after losing their home to foreclosure.
See full story.
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FHA Loan Limits Increase posted by Chris Sato on 5/3/2008
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Housing's Second Wind
by Ken Fears, Manager, Regional Economics
The strong home price appreciation that the housing market experienced from 2000 through 2006 was great for homeowners. Increases in home values helped those households build equity and wealth.
However, that price appreciation had a downside as well. It made achieving homeownership much more difficult for first-time buyers and those potential buyers with less-than-perfect credit, particularly when mortgage rates began to rise from historic lows in mid-2005. As rates increased, average monthly payments also rose. The consequence was that home sales fell as fewer people could afford to buy. Additionally, beginning in mid-2007, many homeowners who had taken out adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) to finance their purchases made after mid-2005 could not refinance. Stagnant or declining prices reduced or eliminated the equity in their home. Unable to refinance, households were faced with making monthly mortgage payments that they could no longer afford. The impact of this trend was particularly harsh on the sub-prime market as funding in this sector evaporated after July of 2007. Default and foreclosure rates increased as a result.
Some Relief in Sight
The good news is that there is some relief on the way. One month ago, Congress passed and the President signed an important stimulus package that goes far beyond the well-publicized $600 tax rebate check. The package includes a provision that will temporarily increase FHA lending limits and the limits on loans that the GSEs can buy.
Prior to 2008, the FHA could only loan up to a maximum of $362,790 for a home in the highest priced markets; most markets had lower limits. Under the new provisions, that limits jumps to as much as $729,500 depending on the local median home price. Based on 2007 mortgage data, NAR Research estimates that more than 140,000 homes in this price category were purchased using sub-prime loans.
FHA vs. Subprime
FHA loans compete with sub-prime loans for borrowers with lower credit standards. However, the FHA has a longer history of lending and has government support, so borrowers receive mortgages rates that are 3.0 percent lower on average than those of subprime loan. In addition, these FHA loans require inspections; users of the FHA program know about issues with their home up front and so can budget accordingly. In short, FHA loans cost home buyers less up front and allow them to budget their long-term expenses more accurately. Finally, FHA has programs in place to keep owners out of foreclosure if they become delinquent – a lesson the private, subprime sector is currently learning.
FHA and Housing Demand
Because FHA loans are considered safe, the increased FHA limits will help stimulate housing demand from buyers with less-than-perfect credit. That in turn will help to support prices, enabling owners facing re-setting of their mortgage-interest rates to refinance into more affordable loans. This will further undercut the precarious position of housing markets with large concentrations of sub-prime ARM loans.
Increased GSE Loan Limits
Equally important are the effects that increased GSE limits will bring. The GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac among others, buy up loans, repackage them, and sell them in the secondary market. The GSEs’ loose relationship with the government is viewed by buyers of mortgage backed securities as insurance – that the risk on these mortgages is much lower than that on mortgages not backed by the Federal government or the GSEs.
The subprime meltdown last summer caused the spread between conforming mortgages rates, those at or below $417,000 that by law could be backed by the GSEs, and jumbo rates to surge nearly a full percentage point. This increase knocked many would-be buyers out of affordability. The difference between 6% and 7 percent is magnified on a monthly payment as the home’s value increases. Now that the GSEs can buy loans above $417,000 up to $729,750, mortgage rates on non-GSE backed loans in this range will likely come down as well. This change will help to boost demand in the volatile, high-priced markets on the east and west coasts.
Impact on Markets
Nearly every county in the county will benefit from this change. Of the 3,190 counties in the United States, 100 will see an increase of 100 percent or more in their FHA loan limit. An additional 3,070 counties will receive an increase of 30 percent or more in their FHA loan limits. Many of the high-priced markets on the east and west coast will experience sharp increases in FHA limits. On average, counties in California will experience an increase of $185,361, with many counties in Los Angeles, San Diego, and San Francisco receiving more. Lower priced areas in the central valley that are experiencing sharp foreclosures – including Modesto, Sacramento, and Stockton – will also experience significant boosts. Washington, D.C., New York City, Boston, and Chicago are just a few of metro areas that will experience sharp increases in both FHA and GSE limits.
However, it’s not just large metros and suburban areas that will benefit. There are many smaller markets that will feel the positive effects of increased loan limits. Some smaller, coastal counties in New Jersey, North Carolina, and Virginia as well as Nantucket have received substantial increases in their loan limits. Other areas have received sizable increases such as popular counties in Colorado outside of Denver and Boulder as well as Lancaster, Ohio and recent boom markets like Wasatch, Utah.
Finally...
The new FHA loan limits combined with the new GSE loan limits will go far to re-vitalize demand in today’s sagging housing market. More importantly, these changes will help to strengthen confidence, the fabric of the industry’s damaged mortgage market, and it will do so at the local level.
Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine May,2008 with permission of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2008. All rights reserved.
How to Make a Low Down Payment Loan Work for You
(ARA) - As spring home buying season begins, financing options remain available for borrowers who do not have the traditional 20 percent down payment.
“Even with home prices declining in many areas, many families still find it difficult to accumulate a 20 percent down payment,” says Suzanne Hutchinson, executive vice president of the Mortgage Insurance Companies of America. ”Low down payment insured loans are a key financial tool in the overall effort to keep the dream of homeownership alive in a volatile market.”
Although the real estate market is tumultuous, there are still safe, predictable and responsible financing options for buying a home. "Most are better off because the risky, exotic loans have largely disappeared from the market, and also fortunate because more secure loans with tax-deductible private and government mortgage insurance are still available for qualified borrowers," says Bruce Hahn, president and CEO of the American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance.
And Congress is helping many buyers with a federal income tax deduction for mortgage insurance premiums on home purchases or refinancing starting in 2007. This is the first-ever tax deduction for government and private mortgage insurance.
The tax deduction was first approved by Congress in late 2006 and applied to loans with mortgage insurance that closed in 2007. In an important move to further assist borrowers, Congress voted in December of last year to extend the mortgage insurance tax deduction through 2010 as part of the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007.
The deduction allows households with an adjusted gross income of $100,000 or less to deduct the full cost of their government or private mortgage insurance premiums on their federal tax returns. Families with incomes between $100,000 and $109,000 are eligible for a reduced deduction. On average, the tax break could be worth $350 per taxpayer.
Approval of the tax deduction by Congress -- and extending it through 2010 -- was strongly supported by a number of consumer, civic, African American and Hispanic groups.
“Making the cost of mortgage insurance tax deductible helps those who need it most: low- and moderate-income Americans, primarily first-time home buyers, who are financially responsible but simply don’t have the means to amass a 20 percent down payment,” Hutchinson says.
Buying a home is usually the biggest financial decision for any family. With riskier mortgage financing options, such as interest-only loans and piggyback mortgages, quickly fading from the marketplace, low down payment loans with mortgage insurance remain readily available for qualified borrowers.
An added benefit is that private mortgage insurance can be canceled when the home owner builds up sufficient equity in the home, with nine in 10 borrowers canceling private mortgage insurance within 60 months.
For more information on tax deduction and home loans with low down payments visit www.privatemi.com.
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1st Quarter 2008 Home Sales for the Santa Fe Area posted by on 4/30/2008
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This is the most recent information on sales of existing and new single family detached home sales data provided by the Santa Fe Association of Realtors or Multiple Listing Service. Neither the Association nor its MLS guarantees or is any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the Association or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Northeast, Area 01
15 sold, median price $710,000
Northwest, Area 02
4 sold, median price $288,875
Southeast, Area 03
34 sold, median price $588,054
Southwest, Area 04, 04N, 04S, 13
85 sold, median price $264,000
Total city of Santa Fe
138 sold, median price $301,500
Santa Fe County
North, Areas 15 & 16
4 sold, median price
$1,997,174
Northwest, Areas 24, 25
27 sold, median price $839,000
Southeast, Areas 05, 07, 08, 10, 26
37 sold, median price $490,000
Southwest, Areas 06, 11, 12, 27
35 sold, median price $305,515
Eldorado, Area 14
21 sold, median price $349,000
Total Santa Fe County
241 sold, median price $353,900
Condo/Townhome City and County
61 sold, median price $230,000
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The Effect of Foreclosures on Renters posted by Chris Sato on 4/29/2008
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Foreclosures hit renters too
Rise in mortgage defaults ripples beyond homeowners: report
Last update: 12:01 a.m. EDT April 30, 2008
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